Some good news for everyone!
California Gov. Gavin Newsom issued the first statewide mandatory stay-at-home restrictions in the U.S. in March, and he had a bit of good news on last Thursday, a week ago.
Since then, we have posted the latest news for California cases below.
- Coronavirus case numbers in California indicate that the state is beginning to “flatten the curve.”
- California was the first state in the country to issue a stay-at-home order.
- Cases in the state were doubling about every 3.5 days at the end of March. But noow, they’re doubling every week.
- But the state still has a backlog of about 14,000 tests to process.
Please watch video:
Governor Newsom giving latest updates on COVID19. Flattening the curve is getting close. 😉
Flattening the California curve
As of Thursday, the number of confirmed cases in California was around 19,000; just over 500 people have died. Roughly 2,700 people are hospitalized in the state, with about 1,150 in intensive-care units.
As is true across the US, California’s official number of cases is almost certainly an undercount. Reports from across the state show that tests have primarily been done in the most severe cases since testing capacity has been limited nationwide due to errors and delays in the federal rollout. So California’s numbers likely leave out many mild and asymptomatic cases, which research suggests account for the vast majority. The state has conducted about 159,000 total tests as of Thursday, according to the COVID Tracking Project.
But it’s still waiting on the results of about 14,000 of those tests.
“The reporting of the results of testing and the reporting of patients who are sick is not giving us the full picture,” Swartzberg said. “So when we try to do modeling, at least one arm and maybe half of another one are tied behind our backs.”
Still, the numbers we do have suggest rate of growth of new cases in California is slowing, even as testing ramps up.
On March 26, cases in California were doubling around every three to four days, Dr. Mark Ghaly, secretary of the California Health and Human Services Agency, told the San Jose Mercury News. But as of Monday, the state was seeing a 7.6% day-over-day growth in new cases, and it took all of last week for the number of cases to double, according to the Mercury News.
Officials and health experts agree that for California to maintain its initial curve-flattening success, residents must continue to heed the stay-at-home order and practice social distancing.
“If we look like other countries’ experience, you’ll then see a plateau and then see it start to drop,” Swartzberg said. “So I would say that we could confidently say that we have succeeded in flattening the curve probably sometime in early- to mid-May.”